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Title: Economic policy uncertainty and sovereign credit rating decisions: Panel quantile evidence for the Eurozone
Authors: Boumparis, Periklis
Milas, Costas
Panagiotidis, Theodore
Type: Article
Subjects: FRASCATI::Social sciences::Economics and Business::Economics
Keywords: Credit ratings
Sovereign debt
Panel quantile
Issue Date: Dec-2017
Source: Journal of International Money and Finance
Volume: 79
First Page: 39
Last Page: 71
Abstract: We employ a panel quantile framework that quantifies the relative importance of quantitative and qualitative factors across the conditional distribution of sovereign credit ratings in the Eurozone area. We find that regulatory quality and competitiveness have a stronger impact for low rated countries whereas GDP per capita is a major driver of high rated countries. A reduction in the current account deficit leads to a rating or outlook upgrade for low rated countries. Economic policy uncertainty impacts negatively on credit ratings across the conditional distribution; however, the impact is stronger for the lower rated countries. In other words, the creditworthiness of low rated countries takes a much bigger ‘hit’ than that of high rated countries when European policy uncertainty is on the rise.
ISSN: 0261-5606
Other Identifiers: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.08.007
Appears in Collections:Department of Economics

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